Openreach Engineer turned up this morning, confirmed I'm the only FTTP connection on my Telegraph Pole, I have the CBT to myself!
Replaced the Nokia 1GB ONT with a Nokia 2.5GB ONT.
Confirmed there was a ONT firmware update recently that had taken out a batch of Nokia 1GB ONT that required hard resets.
Could be a bad PSU causing instability, or bad location cooking the capacitors in the ONT if it gets any direct sunlight? It just plain random fault.
It doesn't really tell much from the router log as if ppp stops responding I believe the port its bound to may get reset, thus causing a link is down.
External wall, under a window sill, not in direct sunlight, away from radiator.
It's possibly a firmware fault that is intermittent enough that it's not seen.