ok I wont be closing the fault.
The flat line of bitswaps at 22/min just carried on, and it looks like the problem eventually causes the line to lose sync, the line lost sync around 8am and then when it came back up bitswaps were low again. Interesting as well is the last update was 8.07am to mdws and then 9.26am for the next so the outage looks like it lasted for over an hour.
Not visible on mdws is HEC errors, these have been huge, before the fault my HEC was always similar to the CRC count now its many times more.
Not sure what I will be saying to sky yet, whether I just keep it dumbed down that the line went down for over an hour, or try to explain all the odd behaviour.