you right it isnt 1:1 contention but its low enough that you will see 1:1 performance.
I believe tho the upload speeds are uncontended. That is how highly provisioned they are, remember its expensive for openreach to deploy fibre, so they have done excess amounts of it as they wont want to do it again.
In short the bandwidth provisioned per end user at a cabinet level is far higher than what the isp's provision.
I think the most realistic point of congestion nearest the customer is the SVLAN and mine is confirmed BLUE.
Of course as well as you pointed out, there is no way 200 users are going to be maxing their lines out at the same time.
Sorry for my bad maths it would take 20 40mbit customers to reach 800mbit of throughput. A 10:1 contention ratio (or there abouts) for a consumer broadband product is very low. The isp's will be contending way higher then that.
Also a quick read of the plusnet forums, doesnt suggest the problem is fixed, merely just me and kitz have found good endpoints and kept our PPP sessions running since.
Also i forgot to mention, there is a openreach document somewhere that states how much they provision per customer, if i remember correctly its basically 4:1 contention ratio as a worse case scenario (20mbit provisioned for 80mbit customers) meaning if 200 users are in the cab synced at 80mbit, then there will for sure be more than 1 gigabit port connected.