Now looking at your stats you dont appear to have any downstream problems but something is niggling me about your upstream.
what was niggling me about your upstream was the higher Error Counts
Upstream SNRM was an amazing 1.2 at 1am this morning
.... and the reason why has just shown itself.
Orange appear to have you on a fixed 2Mb line... but why would they do that?
.. and this could possibly be the reason why Orange's DLM* has put you on a capped rate line.
It would appear your upstream has a huge shift in SNRM.. if its getting down to only 1.2dB, then its going to be struggling to hold on to that 285 kbps upstream.
Upstream frequencies are lower, and
normally have the least problem.
I know you say you are plugged into the master socket.. but can you just double check your filter... and also it may be an idea to try the test socket behind the faceplate for a while - just for the sake of elimination.
I also recommend that you grab a copy of
routerstats and configure it to monitor and record your upstream SNRM.
This will hopefully show us how the decline starts and at what time.. and see if it shows a pattern that may help diagnose some sort of interference issue.