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Author Topic: Scary  (Read 8517 times)

roseway

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Re: Scary
« Reply #15 on: May 25, 2016, 10:31:25 AM »

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aesmith

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Re: Scary
« Reply #16 on: May 25, 2016, 10:32:52 AM »

Ummm..  could this not in part have something to do with OFCOM's Broadband Access Market Classification? The remaining 20CN exchanges are usually Market 1.

That's certainly a factor, for example that was why my Plusnet price was higher than their normal deals.  However at least for Zen the critical factor seems to be 20CN vs 21CN.   I conclude that from running quotes for an address (the local takeaway) on our own exchange Kennethmont, and and another takeaway on the exchange serving our previous house - Udny.   Both exchanges as listed on Samknows as Market 1 Pricing Band E, and on the BTW checker as Market A.  Neither has LLU, but Udny is 21CN, Kennethmont 20CN.   Zen's unlimited price for Udny is £16/month after the free 12 months.   For Kennethmont they don't offer unlimited, price for 200GB is £25.80 with no introductory offer.
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jelv

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Re: Scary
« Reply #17 on: May 25, 2016, 10:54:29 AM »

One thing I don't understand with IPSC is why the ISP has to have separate host links for the 20CN IPSC and 21CN users (Plusnet certainly have that and ready what RevK has posted they do to). 21CN ADSL users and FTTx users share the same host links so why not IPSC? That must be adding to the ISP costs.
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #18 on: May 25, 2016, 12:03:01 PM »

Note  I'd started to type this at 8am and then had to go out.  I'd left this without hitting the Post button because I wanted to see if I could find the prices for host links anywhere.   I note that since there has been a lot of further replies, so I'll hit post button now and then read all the other responses.

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Quote
BT's backhaul prices are absolutely insane, even on 21CN they significantly higher than typical transit costs.


Unfortunately you can not compare backhaul bandwidth to transit costs:( 
Different kettle of fish. Transit pipes are big fat things that go to a specific central location serving millions, pure TCP/IP and practically a case of plug in to their router and away you go.

Backhaul has to cover far more remote locations and you simply cant equate the cost of connecting to a pipe in a CoLo center, to backhaul costs which have to reach each and every exchange. As well as the switches and routers, you also need equipment like MSANs and RAS, RADIUS oh and WDM multiplexors for backhaul which are very expensive.
Access technology for DSL cant be compared to normal routing. Access & Backhaul costs are always going to be way more expensive than Core costs, which in turn will be more expensive than transit.

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BT have got away with it because of the lack of wholesale backhaul competition offering the same thing.

Other backhaulers arent that much cheaper!  Even RevK himself admits there's little difference between BT's 21CN and TT's backhaul costs.  The reason why some people like TT backhaul is their DLM is more configurable.   The problem with is 20CN because of OFCOM setting the pricing on Market 1 exchanges, which keeps the price higher.  All 20CN exchanges are Market 1.

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All those years when adsl max was "the thing" and uk isp's commonly traffic shaped etc. blaming heavy users when it was the excessive backhaul costs been the real reason.

There is no need to tell me about why ISPs had to start capping.  :D  I do believe I was one of the very first to point out that it was down to the cost of backhauls & CBC as to why certain ISPs had started to put caps or traffic shaping in place.
 
In 2006 I wrote the capacity report for another website.  That article was widely covered and caused much discussion on the likes of ADSLguide (TBB) and ISPr etc at the time.  I was even contacted by the BBC about it who covered it on radio.   No-one had ever attempted to do anything like that before.  The original report was long and more detailed, but there's still a cut down version still on my site - Wholesale cost of ADSL in the UK.   It was a big eye opener at the time for many people.   

Quote
I expect in the region of 300mbit at the absolute most.

I haven't analysed Rev K's figures to work out how much capacity he'd need.  I didn't bother doing so - only he can do that because he will have the breakdown figures regarding more specific usage of those EU's still on 20CN.  He will need to ensure there is sufficient capacity to run the service at peak without causing noticeable contention. 

AAISP aren't what I'd call a typical ISP, therefore 'typical usage of the masses' are unlikely to apply.  Also knowing RevK's commitment to service and the customers experience, I doubt he would be happy letting 'his network' run anywhere near as contended as the likes of the larger ISPs.

Contention is a weird game.. the more users you have the better, as it becomes more cost effective. Datastream was an epic fail because the EU numbers were too small.  Exactly same contention ratio would quite happily work once you upped the scale of EU's.  Therefore I doubt whether any back of a cig packet type calculation would work for AAISP.

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I suspect with a few hundred users he has one of the much more expensive smaller pipes, he hasnt got enough left to have a 622mbps pipe.

Smaller pipes arent more expensive. The options for 20CN L2TP centrals are and always have been 622 or 155.

622 Mbps = £1,028,920
155 Mbps = £  221,280

He may even have one of the newer IPSC host links, but as I said in my post above I couldnt find a price list for those which is why I'd used a 622 Central
   


Quote
if they really on the side of the consumer they would step in and put a cap on the costs from BT,

As I said last night, its OFCOM that doing the opposite and ensures there is a 2 tier charging system. 
It fixes the MINIMUM cost that BTw can charge. OCOM will not allow BT wholesale less than figures they set.

It can be see quite clearly when you look at WBC node costs for IPSC.

Contracted bandwidth per Mbit/s per node. 
Market A   £40.15
Market B  £122.64

I take it that you have heard of the Margin Squeeze Test (MST) put in place by OFCOM. The aim of MST is to ensure that BTw charges more than a competitor could.  The idea behind MST is to make it easier for competition to come in, knowing that BT will not undercut LLU charges.   BTw can only charge less for Market A exchanges which have been deregulated by OFCOM and its OFCOM keeping the prices high for Market B pricing. 

Perhaps you can see now why the likes of Ignition, wombat and I say that OFCOM regulation in some respects is not good for consumer.. and even some people said that deregulation may be a better option that splitting off Openreach.
OFCOMs approach has done nothing to help the smaller ISP's -  look how many have gone to the wall since they started meddling. 

All OFCOM appears to care about is making it cheap to the masses by supporting the whims of 'LLU' SPs and not bothering to listen enough to the likes of what I'd call proper ISPs like AAISP and Zen who rely on BTw to provide their services.   :no:
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #19 on: May 25, 2016, 12:18:06 PM »

It will only take one of the big ISPs to dump 20CN users

Didn't TalkTalk practically do that last year?  They sold off all their non LLU customers to Daisy.
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Chrysalis

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Re: Scary
« Reply #20 on: May 25, 2016, 12:22:14 PM »

kitz its actually the other way, e.g. if I buy cogent bandwidth, its not just one big pipe to one location, they have POPs and links to other transit carriers all over the world.  In terms of miles covered, there is no comparison.  BT just cover one little island which has concentrated areas of population, on a worldwide scale its a pittance.  Carriers like level3, and abovenet e.g. laid cables under the ocean.

Did you read rev's blog? he explains it anyway.

It used to be the case the smaller pipes were more expensive than 622s per mbit, hence my comment on that.

quote from cogent's site.

Quote
Cogent's network stretches over 190 markets throughout 41 countries in North America, Europe and Asia, with over 56,100 route miles of long-haul fiber and over 28,300 miles of metropolitan fiber.

BT's 20CN backhaul doesnt cover anywhere near that kind of distance or area, the price is simply ramped up, partially because they were forced to reduce the port costs by ofcom, and partially because of profiteering on their monopoly.
« Last Edit: May 25, 2016, 12:31:53 PM by Chrysalis »
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #21 on: May 25, 2016, 12:39:25 PM »

Quote
21CN ADSL users and FTTx users share the same host links so why not IPSC?

FTTC uses the 21CN backhaul and MPLS core.  They have separate bRAS and different network topology.  20CN doesnt have APs and EPs.

There are several areas where an exchange may still be 20CN, but for those vdsl lines they will use 21CN because all FTTC cabs are connected to a head-end exchange which is 21CN.   
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Chrysalis

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Re: Scary
« Reply #22 on: May 25, 2016, 12:56:42 PM »

I dont think sky and BTr will drop 20CN customers.

BT wouldnt for obvious reasons, sky wouldnt as they prepared to lose money on that to gain tv customers, plus sky's 20CN is congested so they under paying for backhaul as well on that.

One thing to remember with aaisp, is because they dont profiteer on land line rental and call revenue they dont really have other revenue from customers to smother the cost, so it makes sense they would be more sensitive to unprofitable areas.
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #23 on: May 25, 2016, 01:11:43 PM »

kitz its actually the other way, e.g. if I buy cogent bandwidth, its not just one big pipe to one location, they have POPs and links to other transit carriers all over the world. 

Nope - you missed the point.  The PoPs are all big. Data Centre to Data Center [typo intended] & major city to major city.    Carrying millions of users at the same time.
Backhaul is kind of the final mile(s).   Less users.   
We have to rely on SPs/BTw to get traffic to our home to the Internet PoPs.    Its always been the way that 'Internet traffic' is cheaper than Core traffic... which is cheaper than backhaul. 
 
Local access is dearer - regardless if its BT or not.   It would be fine if we all lived in major cities and could plug directly in to those big fat pipes... but we cant and we need someone to bring that access closer to home.   Its the mesh reaching out to all the individual homes that needs a lot more miles of pipes than major city to major city.  If you add up the miles of the mesh pipes going to all exchanges, its going to be far more than say one fat pipe from London to NY.   Thats not counting the specialist Access equipment that DSL needs such as bRAS, DSLAMs/MSANs etc.   

Quote
It used to be the case the smaller pipes were more expensive than 622s per mbit,

No never.  The 622Mbps pipes have always on the face of it looked more expensive than 155's and a single 622 pipe has always cost more than 4 x 155 Mbps pipes.   
Way back in 2005, I gave the reason why this is - the 622 pipes are more efficient as they can carry about the same amount of bandwidth as 5 x 155Mbps pipes due to having less overheads.. 
   
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Chrysalis

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Re: Scary
« Reply #24 on: May 25, 2016, 03:38:22 PM »

distance covered is the prime factor of cost and BT has laid less distance.

Seems like you saying me and revk dont know what we on about :p

Regardless of this, are you trying to say its cost BT more than 100x to cover the UK than for a tier1 transit provider to cover multiple continents?

Not to mention BT wont have laid new backhaul for all their exchange coverage, in many cases they already had it in place.

By the way the backhaul cost doesnt cover the local loop, if thats what you referring to about a mesh covering individual homes, it doesnt even cover the virtual pipes in the exchanges either, they are all covered by other revenue such as line rental and port rental.

Few things to consider here.

The distance covered of cabling is prime factor of cost, doesnt matter if its only for one user or 100k users, as BT standardise the cost.  So the only relevant number is per mbit.
Even tho many POPs are in cities (not all are), where do you think the cable goes in between the cities? the bulk of cabling laid will be outside of cities e.g. a cable from leeds to london will go through the countryside.
Its cheaper to lay cables outside busy areas, e.g. cheaper to put in a field than under a road or pavement.

BT will come up with many excuses but the simple reason they charge over 100x of alternative providers is their duty to maximise profits for their shareholders.  This is coming from someone who has dealt with transit providers directly, and even if you ignore me you have revK the managing director of AAISP saying it.  In simple terms BT are a transit provider, some isp's such as entanet, talktalk, sky have chosen to not use BT transit.  But the smaller players who dont have the capital to go an alternative route use BT transit at a financial penalty.

Also to rent BT/openreach transit between exchange and more centralised POPs is actually quite a lot cheaper than the quoted price, e.g. sky rent's capacity from openreach between exchanges and for that they pay nowhere near £138/mbit.  The last mile isnt to do with the price.
« Last Edit: May 25, 2016, 03:54:08 PM by Chrysalis »
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aesmith

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Re: Scary
« Reply #25 on: May 25, 2016, 04:11:41 PM »

He may even have one of the newer IPSC host links ...
He says in one of the comments that they are.   That raises a question, your diagram shows a single physical connection reaching 20CN, 21CN and FTTC, which would appear to contradict the point about separate costs for 20CN.   Is the 20CN stuff carried on a separate VLAN/VP/VRF or something, so logically a separate connection (with a separate price) even though it's on the same physical link?

I still wonder about ISP contracts.  The first blog post suggested that they were considering unilaterally cancelling connections, or offering choice of price rise or cancellation.  While I appreciate the commercial position, that sounds quite one sided.   I assume no service provider would take it lying down if a customer told them they'd decided to pay a lower price, and giving the option of the ISP ending the contract if they didn't want to accept the price drop.  So are ISP contracts one sided, enforceable against the end user but not the provider?
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ejs

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Re: Scary
« Reply #26 on: May 25, 2016, 05:17:06 PM »

Contracted bandwidth per Mbit/s per node. 
Market A   £40.15
Market B  £122.64

I take it that you have heard of the Margin Squeeze Test (MST) put in place by OFCOM. The aim of MST is to ensure that BTw charges more than a competitor could.  The idea behind MST is to make it easier for competition to come in, knowing that BT will not undercut LLU charges.   BTw can only charge less for Market A exchanges which have been deregulated by OFCOM and its OFCOM keeping the prices high for Market B pricing. 

Err, but it's the Market B exchanges which are the deregulated ones, and the Market A exchanges are the ones with no LLU competition. Probably all or most Market B exchanges will have been upgraded to WBC anyway.
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ejs

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Re: Scary
« Reply #27 on: May 25, 2016, 05:32:36 PM »

Also, if an ISP is using WBMC Shared, doesn't that mean they won't have to pay for things like 20CN centrals separately, they only have to pay for the WBMC host links, but have to pay for WBC and IPSC bandwidth separately (and separately at each host link).

WBMC (WBC) Total Best Efforts Contracted Bandwidth charge: £48.55 per Mbit/s per month
WBMC (IPsC) Best Efforts Contracted Bandwidth charge (Market B): £131.20 per Mbit/s per month
WBMC (IPsC) Best Efforts Contracted Bandwidth charge (Market A): £63.56 per Mbit/s per month
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #28 on: May 25, 2016, 08:44:04 PM »

Quote
The distance covered of cabling is prime factor of cost, doesnt matter if its only for one user or 100k users, as BT standardise the cost.

Although installation of the cable regardless of the bandwidth it can carry.  Transit is cheap because it carries more bandwidth and millions of users to be able to bring costs down.   

Transit is to major cities, billions of Gbs going over their links. Millions of users to share the cost of that pipe. 
Backhaul is thinner and each backhaul is shared by one hell of a lot less users than transit.

If you think backhaul should be the same price to as transit, then why the heck dont Sky or who-ever go to all the exchanges. Its because those smaller exchanges dont have sufficient users to ofset the cost to provision the backhaul.   
As I said in my earlier post TT backhaul is much the same price as 21CN backhaul.  RevK will admit that.  If backhaul or even core is so cheap why arent more doing it?   None of the other Core transit suppliers are that much cheaper than BTw.

The reason transit is so cheap is bulk of numbers makes it profitable, plus laying of transatlantic cables are heavily funded by both financial and IT sectors who are willing to throw money in to the pot.

Its a world wide thing, pick a country..  USA..  Austrailia.. Africa... etc.  Backhaul cost is always substantially more for backhaul than transit. Thats just the way it is and a fact of life. Its NOT a BT thing as you seem to think it is.

RevK does not say it costs the same to provision backhaul than it does transit.  His actual words were

Quote
To put it in to context I could pay a transit provider that will guarantee no packet loss sending packets to thousands of interconnect points around the globe at a rate of under £1/Mb/s/month, but BT charge £138/Mb/s/month to send packets "best efforts" to a few hundred 20CN only telephone exchanges in the UK.


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Quote
Not to mention BT wont have laid new backhaul for all their exchange coverage, in many cases they already had it in place.

What was in place and from when?

MSiP, the ATM backhaul was built 90's.  It was built to provide leased lines and used 155Mb pipes for its backhaul.  The 20CN uses 155/622 pipes for backhaul. They didnt build the Core (Colossus) until the late 90's.  When BT first rolled out DSL a typical VP was just 2Mbps and bandwidth was scarce.   

The reason why 20CN cant have adsl2+ is their backhauls couldn't cope with the traffic and there is insufficient capacity.  It would be easy enough to put in an MSAN (in fact they probably do have MSANs in that are able to do ADSL2+), but the backhaul is the bottleneck. Connect an MSAN full of adsl2+ users to the ATM backhaul and it would soon have problems. :(

In early 2000 BT realised they were going to have to do something drastic.  MSIP was not future proof and was straining running 8Mbps connections.  Realising that 'fibre' was on the horizon they knew they would have to build a brand new and totally separate network - and why they built the totally new 21CN several years ago
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kitz

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Re: Scary
« Reply #29 on: May 25, 2016, 08:46:15 PM »

Err, but it's the Market B exchanges which are the deregulated ones, and the Market A exchanges are the ones with no LLU competition. Probably all or most Market B exchanges will have been upgraded to WBC anyway.

Apologies, my mistake and me seeing the lower cost for Market A from their pricing list and getting them mixed up, knowing that its supposedly unregulated that are cheaper.
I think BT may also be getting them mixed up too on their latest price list and transposed the figures... What the heck has happened to their pricing?

This is from the WBC Tarriff dated 1st Jan 2016

Code: [Select]
AP national coverage (combined with IPsC CP Handover option) - Market A 12 Months 01/07/2014 Month £20,968.00
AP national coverage (combined with IPsC CP Handover option) - Market B 12 Months 01/07/2014 Month £6,532.00

Yet this is the latest WBC Tarriff dated 14th of April 2016

Code: [Select]
AP national coverage (combined with IPsC CP Handover option) - Market A 12 Months 01/07/2014 Month £6,532.00
AP national coverage (combined with IPsC CP Handover option) - Market B 12 Months 01/07/2014 Month £20,968.00


Have they messed with the Market A & B figures big time, or have they got them the wrong way round on the latest price guide.


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